This time it's inflationary:
CBO breakdown of the 2009 budget deficit*:
1. $313b - CBO projects that worsening economic conditions will cause the deficit to increase by $313b.
2. $238b - CBO’s estimate of the cost to the government for the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac takeovers.
3. $180b - The amount included in the deficit this year to reflect the PV of the net cost of transactions under the TARP, which was created in the fall of 2008.
4. $185b - CBO’s analysis of the budget impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. Approximately $185 billion of the $789.5 billion of spending and tax cuts would be recognized during the remainder of fiscal year 2009. The largest impact will occur in 2010 with $399 billion added to the deficit for that year.
*From Perot Charts h/t Barry Ritholtz
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