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The President's favorables are falling, no doubt about that.
As everyone's father loves to say, "People vote with their pocket books," so it should go without saying that the public perception of the POTUS follows the economic outlook at any given time. Nothing too revolutionary there. What I don't understand however is why Rasmussen is still seen as a reliable source of information.
To put that another way, would you (since most of you disagree with me about these things) trust this poll by the Daily Kos?
I know I wouldn't (plus relying on 1 source of information is so 1992).
Thanks to the internets however, we can now control for our fickle view of the world by a process known as aggregation. So for a more accurate reading of the national mood, please allow me to suggest frequenting poll aggregating sites like Pollster.com or realclearpolitics.com as opposed to circulating the right wing friendly (though typically misleading) Rasmussen.
You are what you read after all.
6 comments:
Interesting analysis... I think it's interesting that the polls show his approval is still dropping even after the reports of good Q2 earnings and a major stock market rally last week.
I think Rasmussen tends to look more dramatic because they do a "strongly approve and strongly disapprove" chart while other polls like Gallup only chart "approve and disapprove." Obviously the margin on Rasmussen will be more dramatic.
The other night I saw Charlie Gibson reporting on Obama's plummeting approval rating, which was surprising to me since he is a supporter. Can't ignore the news.
My personal opinion (in a nutshell) is that moderate Americans are seeing a change, but not a change they can believe in. :)
Not relevant, but I LOVE YOU!!!!!!!!
I think Andrea went on a blog commenting rampage last night.
I wouldn't read anything into his polling vs. the Dow as unemployment and whether or not housing prices will ever find a bottom are really the key indicators here. Plus Obama is polling about where Bush was at this time, and I doubt his supporters would've seen that as an indicator that his domestic agenda had already failed. I know I didn't at the time.
My hunch is that the reality of Iraq/Afghanistan (which annoys the far left), a much worse recession than he was willing to admit (which hurts everyone), and the health care debate are driving any downturn in his numbers. Not to mention his failure to already meet the wildly exaggerated expectations of his loudest proponents.
I don't have much else to add other than to reiterate my original point that Rasmussen is one of the least reliable polls available.
I do agree with you Mike. Obama was elected to fix the economy. Unfortunately instead, he's promoting a very far left agenda (domestic) in the name of fixing the economy. And in my opinion, he hasn't done anything that really helps the economy.
I think the drop July has more to do with healthcare, and last week's low might have had something to do with the Cambridge police comment...
As for Rasmussen I don't really have an opinion, which is why I went ahead and just shared my opinion about other things. Come on Andrea, let me rant.
Glad to see your commenting bug hasn't been suppressed by the pregnancy!
Anyways, I hope one area where we can all agree is that the economy would be suffering no matter who was elected. Obama overpromised without question, but anyone who didn't see that coming was either not using their critical thinking skills or unaware of what it takes to get elected in this country.
Health care will definitely play a major role in the coming months and years, and my only hope is that we move more toward the Mayo Clinic than Massachusetts. Public option or not.
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